Managing The Portfolio Realizingthe Benefits
Managing the Portfolio, Realizing the Benefits
Authored By: Stephen Jenner, FCMA, MBA --- Director, Criminal Justice IT (CJIT)
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The pdf of this article with the figures and tables is available on the Member Portal to members. If you are a member, click here to be taken to it. Context The CJS IT approach to Portfolio Management won the 2007 UK Civil Service Financial Management award, is the subject of a case study by Gartner, and has been commended by Booz Allen Hamilton and is cited as best practice in reports to the OECD and European Commission. This article outlines the approach.
Introduction Organisations invest in IT projects and programmes to deliver, or more usually to enable, benefits in terms of regulatory compliance, cost savings, increased revenue and/or performance improvements. This applies as much in the public as it does in the private sector - for example, the Office for Government Commerce[1] state, "The fundamental reason for beginning a programme is to realise the benefits through change" and the Cabinet Office[2] agree, "It is only possible to be sure that change has worked if we can measure the delivery of the benefits it is supposed to bring." Yet the track record in government is not good - the Public Accounts Committee for example, concluded in 1999 that[3]: "...for more than two decades, implementing IT systems successfully has proved difficult...has resulted in delay, confusion and inconvenience to the citizen and, in many cases, poor value for money to the taxpayer." High profile failures in recent years indicate that the situation has not improved significantly and the issue is not restricted to the public sector or to the UK - KPMG for example, report in their 2005 Global IT Project Management Survey that, "project success appears to equate to achieving an acceptable level of failure or minimizing lost benefits." The issue was summed up most notably by the Nobel prize winning economist, Robert Solow[4], who commented, "You can see computers everywhere but in the productivity statistics." This is however hardly surprising when as Gartner[5] report, "Business cases are... generally viewed only as documents for gaining funding. Once approved they are put away....few track the business benefits the projects actually achieve." By 2004, the Criminal Justice System IT programme (a £2 billion investment between 2003 and 2008) faced a familiar situation - costs were escalating, delivery was delayed and benefits were falling significantly. Criminal Justice IT's response[6] was to develop and implement an approach that integrates Portfolio Management techniques derived from modern finance theory, with more effective approaches to benefits realisation that embed responsibility within the business rather than with the project. This approach, which combines robust scrutiny of investments throughout the project life cycle, with one that captures all forms of value created, has borrowed extensively from best practice both here in the UK and abroad - see Figure 1. Figure 1 An integrated, active, repeatable process This article outlines the key principles, tools and processes that are, it is argued, applicable to major investments beyond the criminal justice and the IT contexts. Investment Appraisal In allocating funding and assessing performance, it is crucial that projects are appraised on a level playing field against agreed criteria. A first step is therefore to agree a set of ‘Investment Principles' against which all existing and potential projects will be appraised. The nine CJS IT Investment Principles agreed at Ministerial level are as follows:
The principles of ‘Attractiveness' and Achievability' underpin the approach and reflect an application of the concepts of risk and return derived from Portfolio Theory, to the Project and Programme Management environment where:
Investment appraisals are however dependent on reliable data - as Cooper and Edgett[7] say, "The best project selection system in the world is worthless unless the data is sound." Unfortunately, experience indicates that, as one practitioner says[8], "Business cases contain untested assumptions masquerading as facts". This view is supported by eempirical research which indicates that optimism bias is a reality i.e. "There is a demonstrated, systemic, tendency for project appraisers to be overly optimistic. This is a worldwide phenomenon that affects both the private and public sectors...appraisers tend to overstate benefits, and underestimate timings and costs"[9]. It is therefore essential that such claims are subject to robust scrutiny. An independent Portfolio Unit has therefore been established within CJIT to review business cases and evaluate them against the agreed Investment Principles. This unit triangulates and validates cost and benefits data by:
Figure 2: The Proving Model assessment The Proving Model scores are then combined with the financial/economic analysis and benefits reviews in an Investment Appraisal report (see Figure 3). This ensures that rather than having to wade through 100 page business cases, governance bodies receive a summary focusing on the salient facts - how much is the project going to cost, what benefits are claimed, what is the contribution to strategic priorities and what degree of confidence do we have in these costs and benefits? Figure 3: The Investment Appraisal Report
Portfolio Management and Prioritisation Portfolio Management is defined by the OGC as[10], "a corporate, strategic level process for co-ordinating successful delivery across an organisation's entire set of programmes and projects." The objectives of the process include:
A key element in the process is the management of constraints - and a key factor in this regard is the third ‘A' of Affordability. Portfolio Prioritisation exercises therefore need to be undertaken taking account of not only projects' NPVs and ‘Attractiveness' and ‘Achievability' ratings, but also ‘Affordability' i.e. projects' relative rankings need to be considered in the context of available funding.
The assessments of new and existing projects are plotted on an Attractiveness & Achievability matrix to demonstrate their relative rankings (see Figure 4).
Figure 4: Portfolio Analysis - Attractiveness and Achievability
Consideration however also needs to be given to additional factors such as: 1. The existence of any mandated or regulatory requirements. Such investments are by definition non-discretionary and therefore need to be funded prior to allocations to discretionary projects. 2. Balance across the Portfolio in terms of investment in: the various parts of the Criminal Justice System; supporting the various strategic targets; and in the types of investment - infrastructure and applications. 3. The existence of interdependencies between projects. Infrastructure projects in particular, tend to score poorly in terms of financial return on investment but can enable applications that have strong strategic alignment and positive NPVs (see Figure 5).
Figure 5: Portfolio Dependency Analysis The output of this exercise is an allocation of funds to existing and proposed investments according to the following categorisation: Invest/Commit; Hold (i.e. invest when funding becomes available); or Reject/Cull. The conclusions of the prioritisation exercise are then reported in a Delivery Plan which is subject to approval by Ministers.
This is however not just a once and for all activity - formal Portfolio Prioritisation exercises are undertaken at the start of each new Spending Review period (usually every two years) but the Delivery Plan and funding allocations are reviewed at least every six months. In this way, the CJS IT Portfolio operates a series of "Gates with Teeth" - review stages that operate at two levels:
Active Benefits Management The OGC estimate that 30-40% of systems to support business change deliver no benefits whatsoever[11]. Experience indicates that the reality may be worse: benefits are often poorly defined in business cases; success in many projects is defined in terms of deployment rather than usage; planning for benefits realisation is rudimentary; and little effective action is taken when benefits are not delivered. Too often benefits management is seen as an unnecessary overhead that gets in the way of delivery. Yet this attitude is itself at the heart of why so many projects fail to deliver the promised benefits. The CJIT Portfolio Unit has addressed these issues by establishing a Value Management Office (VMO) with an approach that combines robust scrutiny and validation of claimed benefits with research and analysis to ensure that all relevant benefits are captured. The approach:
Independent Scrutiny and Validation - ensuring Benefits are robust and realisable Costings are generally subject to detailed rules about what can and can't be counted but the same is not true of benefits. CJIT has consequently developed a ‘Benefits Management Framework' that encompasses:
Each of the above will be addressed in turn. A ‘Benefits Classification Framework' has been developed that values benefits on two dimensions: firstly, by type - benefits are classified into efficiency (cashable and non-cashable) and effectiveness (the economic value of improved performance) categories; and secondly, by recipient i.e. the organisation, group or sector that actually receives the benefit. In this way benefits are represented in a ‘Benefits Grid' where the horizontal figures are required to reconcile to the vertical totals - see Figure 6.
Figure 6: The Benefits Grid
The ‘Benefits Eligibility Framework' represents the set of detailed rules about what benefits can, and can't, be claimed and how they should be valued. As such it ensures a methodologically sound approach to measuring and valuing benefits; minimises double counting; allows a consistent approach across the Portfolio - a level playing field; and so enables comparisons over time and between projects. Benefits claims and reports are subject to a regular ‘Benefits Integrity Check'. On a quarterly basis, updated benefits reports are prepared by each contributor project - ‘contributor' in the sense that projects contribute benefits to stakeholders (organisations, groups or individuals). One page formats have been developed to focus on the key benefit information - see Figure 7.
Figure 7: The Quarterly Contributor Project 1 Page Benefits Report
These reports are checked against the ‘Benefits Eligibility Framework' and are reconciled with benefits reports from each recipient organisation - see Figure 8.
Figure 8: The Quarterly Recipient Organisation 1 Page Benefits Report
It can be seen that whilst the focus of the Project report is on the key benefits forecast over the full life cycle, the recipient organisation report is focused on what benefits have been and will be realised in the current Spending Review (3 year) period. Where there is a difference in the reported benefits, responsibility for approving them ultimately lies with the recipient agency rather than the ‘contributor' project. This is a fundamental principle that ensures benefits claims are robust and realisable. Efficiency benefits are also tracked through and agreed with the departmental efficiency planners. Number 1 in the National Audit Office/Office of Government Commerce's list of Common Causes of Project Failure is: "Lack of a clear link between the project and the organisation's key strategic priorities" Performance/effectiveness benefits recorded on the Benefits reports are therefore re-cut to show the contribution the Portfolio is making to the achievement of each strategic target - and these claims are validated with the relevant Strategic Planners via Strategic Target Benefits Realisation Plans - see Figure 9
Figure 9: The Strategic Target Benefits Realisation Plan
The output of this quarterly Benefits Integrity Check is a detailed report consisting of the project, organisation and strategic target reports referred to above. The position is then summarised in a Portfolio level Benefits Scorecard to provide a one page overview of the current position on benefits forecast and realisation - see Figure 10.
Figure 10: The Benefits Scorecard
This process is supported by a governance and accountability framework within which the OCJR Operational Board (CEO level) have accepted accountability for the realisation of benefits in their organisations from the investment in CJS IT. They are supported by nominated Benefits Realisation Leads (BRLs) who are responsible for validating/signing off benefits claims and ensuring that the benefits they have agreed are actually realised - benefits not just from projects sponsored by their organisation, but from the wider CJS IT portfolio. These BRLs meet on a monthly basis as the Benefits Working Group to review progress and address emerging issues. Ensuring all benefits are captured International research indicates that e-Government initiatives often struggle to demonstrate a positive financial or economic return on investment. It is not that these investments do not have a return, rather that traditional financial appraisal techniques do not capture all forms of value added. This puts at risk continued investment and the realization of benefits from the investment made to date. It is therefore crucial that this missing value is recognised - whether it relates to cross system performance improvements; social and political value; or what is termed foundation value.
Cross-system Performance/Effectiveness Benefits Realisation of benefits in a cross-organisational portfolio is problematic in that benefits to one organisation may well be dependent on business change elsewhere in the system. The Cabinet Office e-Government Unit have commented that[12], "Business cases were found to be particularly strong on the assessment of costs and benefits related to the lead department itself...However, the identification and quantification of external benefits, for example to users or other departments, were less well handled resulting in business cases that often understated the benefits, and provided an incomplete base for tracking future 3rd party benefits through to realisation."
This issue has been addressed by the development of a ‘Root Cause Model' (RCM) as a basis for agreeing, quantifying and valuing cross-system benefits. The model, which is developed from a series of practitioner workshops and is agreed by the Benefits Working Group, identifies the forecast impact of the Portfolio as a whole on the root causes of key problems in the Criminal Justice System and the contribution to Public Service Agreement (PSA) targets. As such it represents a detailed cause and effect chain from IT project through to PSA target. See extract from the RCM at Figure 11.
Figure 11: Extract from the Root Cause Model
The model is underpinned by cost and measurement data that enables the performance impacts forecast by the model to be quantified in economic terms - what are referred to as the Combined Effectiveness Impact (CEI) benefits. These benefits are recorded on the Recipient Organisation and Strategic Target Benefits Realisation reports referred to above - in this way, these benefits are subject to the same validation and tracking mechanisms as the benefits delivered from ‘silo' projects.
The model has also been found to have a number of other advantages:
‘Social' Value A study undertaken for the Australian Government[13] concluded that, "Determining the benefit/cost ratio for e-Government is not straightforward, as the outcomes and benefits are not just financial. A particular problem for agencies is in identifying and measuring social value."
Methodologies developed in other jurisdictions also recognise this deficiency, for example:
Figure 12: The European Commission's economics of e Government Framework
All these models include a recognition that social value is a key aspect of the value proposition for e Government initiatives. The Root Cause Model is therefore being used to estimate the potential value of the CJS IT Portfolio on the economic and social cost of crime i.e. if the model indicates a value to the Criminal Justice System from reductions in re-offending or ineffective trials for example, then the value of this reduction to specific groups and to wider society can be assessed by independent economists.
CJIT sponsors such research by Home Office economists. The analysis produced is subject to regular updating. Confidence ratings are applied to identify areas in which further research would be helpful and the findings are presented in a range of forecasts rather than a single point value.
‘Political Value' and the avoidance of ‘Things Gone Wrong' Some projects won't necessarily have a positive net present value, for example: politically mandated projects including those designed in response to major system failures; legally required projects; and regulatory requirements. Such projects will proceed with or without a positive NPV and this reality needs to be reflected in our Investment Appraisal criteria and Value Management approaches. The rationale for such investments is often:
We are therefore faced with the immediate problems of how to measure things that don't happen and how to attribute their avoidance to the project? There is an implicit assumption that the value of compliance with law/regulations and avoidance of a policy failure represents the net cost of the project. The CJS IT approach takes this on step further by:
Foundation Value Infrastructure investments generally struggle to show a positive return on investment unless they also take account of the applications that will run on that infrastructure. However, where such applications have yet to be fully scoped or funded, their benefits cannot be booked in departmental efficiency plans. The research underpinning the US Value Measuring Methodology concluded that[17], "Early investments in e-services are burdened with the costs associated with building required infrastructure and skills. Cost analyses that do not incorporate foundational value can make calculating and demonstrating a short-term or even long-term value difficult or even impossible. Decisions made based on these calculations will stifle innovation and make progress toward transforming government sluggish at best."
Gartner argue[18] that resolving this issue requires a business case, "based on articulating how an infrastructure investment enables future investments as well as current projects and activities to better realize their potential or actual benefits."
There is therefore a ‘Potential Opportunity Value' or ‘Foundation Value' that needs to be recognised, but it is crucial that such values are robust and are actively managed to exploit the capacity that has been created. CJIT has therefore developed a ‘Potential Opportunity Value' model to forecast and manage the potential value inherent in existing infrastructure investments[19]. This model incorporates:
Assessments will be updated on an annual basis and performance will be monitored in terms of the extent to which potential projects in the Opportunity pipeline are converted to active projects and the ratio of forecast benefits to benefits realised. Conclusions Experience from the CJS IT Portfolio over the last two years demonstrates that realising the full value for investment in e Government and Transformation initiatives requires consideration to be given to the ‘10 Principles of Benefits Realisation':
Biography - Stephen Jenner Steve heads the CJS IT Portfolio Unit that was established in 2005 to manage the £2 billion investment by the UK government in modernising and joining up the criminal justice system in England and Wales. As such his responsibilities include: making the case for continued investment to HM Treasury; Investment appraisal; portfolio prioritisation; and benefits realization. Since June 2006, he has also filled the position of Home Office Director heading CJIT, following the appointment of his predecessor, John Suffolk, as the first UK Government CIO. From April 2008 Steve is working on the pan-government portfolio and benefits management agenda on secondment to the Cabinet Office.
Steve is a Fellow of the Chartered Institute of Management Accountants and Institute of Internal Auditors, and has an MBA from Strathclyde Business School. He also holds a Masters in Applied Criminology from Fitzwilliam College, Cambridge University.
He is a member of the Senior Civil Service and has over 16 years experience in the Criminal Justice System, primarily in the Prison Service where he was Head of Internal Audit (1994-1999) and Head of Financial Accounting (1999-2001). In 2001-2002 Steve enjoyed a 12 month secondment to Queensland, Australia where he led on the implementation of cross government initiatives in the Department of Corrective Services.
Steve regularly speaks at conferences on the subjects of Investment Appraisal, Portfolio Prioritisation and Benefits Management - in the last 18 months he has presented to the OCED in Paris; to the European Commission in Brussels and Vienna; and to conferences in Washington, Florida, Vancouver, London, Rome, Milan and Australia.
Further information and a guidebook are available from the author (stephen.jenner@cjit.gsi.gov.uk or stephenjenner@btinternet.com).
[1] Office for Government Commerce (OGC), Managing Successful Programmes (MSP) [2] UK Cabinet Office, Successful IT: Modernising Government in Action [3] Committee of Public Accounts Session 1999-2000 Improving the Delivery of Government IT Projects [4] Quoted in J Thorp (2003) The Information Paradox [5] Gartner (2004) Building Brilliant Business Cases [6] Criminal Justice IT (CJIT) is part of the Office for Criminal Justice Reform (OCJR) which is a cross-departmental team covering the Home Office, the Department for Constitutional Affairs and the Attorney General's Office. CJIT has a dual role: to deliver IT solutions that help join up the CJS and to manage the wider CJS IT programme which also encompasses the provision of modern infrastructure and case management systems in the Police, Crown Prosecution Service, Courts, Prisons, Probation and Youth Justice System. [7] Cooper R & Edgett S, (2006) Ten ways to make better project portfolio and project selection decisions, PDMA Visions Magazine [8] Source: Bob Mornan, Executive Director, CIO Branch, Government of Canada. Presentation to the OECD, Paris 6.2.2006 ‘Benefits Realisation: Government of Canada Experience' [9] HM Treasury. The Green Book Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government [10] OGC, 2004, Portfolio Management [11] Source: OGC Successful Delivery Toolkit
[12] Source: ‘UK Approach to Benefits Realisation Country Report in Support of the e Government Expert Meeting on the Cost and Benefit Analysis of e-Government', February 2006. [13] NOIE, April 2003, E-Government Benefits Study [14] CIO Council, 2002, Value Measuring Methodology - How-TO-Guide [15] See ‘E-Government Benefits Study‘ [April 2003] from the Australian National Office for the Information Economy (NOIE). [16] See: e Government Economics Project (e GEP): '‘Measurement Framework Final Version' 15th May 2006; ‘Economic Model Final Version' 31st May 2006. [17] Booz Allen Hamilton, Building a Methodology for Measuring the Value of E-Services [18] Gartner, How to Demonstrate the Elusive Value of IT Infrastructure in Government [19] The model is currently being piloted on the Exchange - the IT infrastructure that joins up the CJS and enables information sharing between Criminal Justice agencies. |
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